7.08: Difference between revisions

From Arizona Citizen Voice
No edit summary
Line 7: Line 7:
'''>>>Navigational Buttons<<<'''
'''>>>Navigational Buttons<<<'''
* '''[[Index of Attributes]]'''
* '''[[Index of Attributes]]'''
* '''Previous Attribute - ?'''
* '''Previous Attribute - [[7.07]]'''
* '''Next Attribute - ?'''
* '''Next Attribute - [[7.09]]'''
__FORCETOC__
__FORCETOC__


=== '''No Examples''' ===
 
=== Jamie's Story ===
No examples are available to illustrate governance gaps for this attribute.
 
=== Election Anomalies ===
 
===== [[Signature Verification|Maricopa County Signature Verification (2020)]] =====
Governance issues identified from [https://www.azag.gov/sites/default/files/2025-06/2020_General_Election_Investigation_Summary.pdf Arizona Attorney General's Office 2020 General Election Investigation] of Arizona Senate allegations of Maricopa County - Signature Verification Process issues.
 
This attribute directs manage to estimate the significance of a risk by considering the magnitude of impact, likelihood of occurrence, and nature of the risk.
 
* Magnitude of impact refers to the likely magnitude of the effect of the risk on the entity's ability to achieve its objectives. It is affected by factors such as the size, pace, and duration of the risk's impact. Currently, there is no possible method to assess the magnitude of the impact because there is no way to identify a fraudulent ballot, except possibly through forensic analysis. The magnitude of the impact appears to be related to the amount of actual fraud given that less than 600 signature mismatches were identified by Signature verifiers.
* Likelihood of occurrence refers to the level of possibility that an unintended event or result will occur.  Likelihood of risk from Signature Verifiers is influence by factors such as the size, pace, and duration of the risk's impact, contrary to the Green Books suggestion that those factors affect the Magnitude of impact. Signature Verification is a seldomly performed activity, normally during a few weeks of the primary and a few weeks during the General or Mid-term elections. There is a demanding pace considering the election results are expected to be announce a few hours after the polls close.
* The nature of the risk involves factors such as the degree of subjectivity involved with the risk and whether the risk arises from fraud or from complex or unusual transactions. There is a direct correlation between the increase from fraud risk and poor Signature Verifier accuracy.
 
MC Elections Department has appearently not assessed the nature of risk from Signature Verifier errors with respect to the likelihood of occurrence.

Revision as of 21:03, 21 August 2026

Risk Assessment

Principle 7 - Identify, Analyze, and Respond to Risks

Attribute 7.08 - Management estimates the significance of the identified risks to assess their impact on achieving the defined objectives at both the entity and transaction levels. Management estimates the significance of a risk by considering the magnitude of impact, likelihood of occurrence, and nature of the risk. Magnitude of impact refers to the likely magnitude of the effect of the risk on the entity's ability to achieve its objectives. It is affected by factors such as the size, pace, and duration of the risk's impact. Likelihood of occurrence refers to the level of possibility that an unintended event or result will occur. The nature of the risk involves factors such as the degree of subjectivity involved with the risk and whether the risk arises from fraud or from complex or unusual transactions.

>>>Navigational Buttons<<<


Jamie's Story

No examples are available to illustrate governance gaps for this attribute.

Election Anomalies

Governance issues identified from Arizona Attorney General's Office 2020 General Election Investigation of Arizona Senate allegations of Maricopa County - Signature Verification Process issues.

This attribute directs manage to estimate the significance of a risk by considering the magnitude of impact, likelihood of occurrence, and nature of the risk.

  • Magnitude of impact refers to the likely magnitude of the effect of the risk on the entity's ability to achieve its objectives. It is affected by factors such as the size, pace, and duration of the risk's impact. Currently, there is no possible method to assess the magnitude of the impact because there is no way to identify a fraudulent ballot, except possibly through forensic analysis. The magnitude of the impact appears to be related to the amount of actual fraud given that less than 600 signature mismatches were identified by Signature verifiers.
  • Likelihood of occurrence refers to the level of possibility that an unintended event or result will occur. Likelihood of risk from Signature Verifiers is influence by factors such as the size, pace, and duration of the risk's impact, contrary to the Green Books suggestion that those factors affect the Magnitude of impact. Signature Verification is a seldomly performed activity, normally during a few weeks of the primary and a few weeks during the General or Mid-term elections. There is a demanding pace considering the election results are expected to be announce a few hours after the polls close.
  • The nature of the risk involves factors such as the degree of subjectivity involved with the risk and whether the risk arises from fraud or from complex or unusual transactions. There is a direct correlation between the increase from fraud risk and poor Signature Verifier accuracy.

MC Elections Department has appearently not assessed the nature of risk from Signature Verifier errors with respect to the likelihood of occurrence.